The president lost, but he did a good deal better with minorities in 2020 than he did in 2016.
Assuming the exit polls are more reliable than the ones that predicted a blue wave, Joe Biden did what he said he would do on Election Day in the upper Midwest—just not how he said he would do it.
In 2016, millions of people in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania who had supported Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012 opted to back Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton. It was these voters, not the Kremlin or Ku Klux Klan sympathizers, who delivered the White House to Republicans. Mr. Biden’s most compelling argument during the Democratic primary race was that he was far more likely than Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren to win back that voting bloc. It didn’t play out that way.
Mr. Biden flipped Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania not because he won over former Trump supporters but because he turned out Democrats who stayed home four years ago instead of voting for Mrs. Clinton. “Mr. Biden’s success was built on winning majorities of women, suburban voters and Black voters, according to the national AP VoteCast survey conducted Oct. 28 through Election Day evening,” The Wall Street Journal reported earlier this week. “Mr. Biden also ran up the score in cities such as Detroit and Milwaukee, where Democratic turnout had lagged four years ago.”
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