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A Policy Playbook for New York's Next Mayor: Growth, Opportunity, and Safety

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Issue briefs from Manhattan Institute scholars
Urban PolicyNYC


Housing | Education | Budget | Transportation | Small Business | Public Safety


New York City has faced crises before, from great fires to financial calamity and terrorism, but few have been worse than pandemics. Cholera claimed more than one in 20 city dwellers during the 1830s and 1850s. There were waves of yellow fever before that, and AIDS in the century to come. In each instance, better public health meant greater public wealth. Now, following the Covid-19 pandemic that led to the deaths of some 30,000 New Yorkers, a lockdown that shattered the economy—and caused thousands to flee—the need to restore the city’s health and prosperity is urgent.

New York City: Reborn, an initiative of the Manhattan Institute (MI), seeks to help this restoration. The project includes research, journalism, and events that bring business, civic, academic, and other leaders together with MI scholars to actively discuss issues that are crucial to the city’s recovery. As part of this initiative, the papers in this “policy playbook” present practical measures that New York’s next mayor can employ to bring this recovery about. The briefs are written by MI scholars; each one builds on their expert knowledge, previous MI research, and a network of public leaders from across the city whom the institute gathered to help shape their thinking.

The present crisis of New York City came on the heels of a decade during which its political leaders—as did many urban leaders across the country—seemingly took growth and public safety for granted. They imagined that taxes could rise, spending could rise even higher, and all would be well—until disease and disorder appeared, that is. Urban decline, however, is not inevitable; it is a choice, and so, too, is growth.



Eric Kober, Senior Fellow

The root cause of New York City’s housing problem, where too many pay too much for a roof over their heads, is the red tape that strangles new construction. The city’s solution has too often been to layer on more unworkable housing mandates and lavish public subsidies are never enough, as well as pile on regulations that restrict the production of privately funded housing. Senior fellow Eric Kober presents a blueprint for more affordable and available dwellings across the city. In addition to reviewing the obsolete laws and codes governing building, his recommendations include:

  • Permitting accessory dwelling units in what are now single- or two-family homes
  • Encouraging “missing-middle” housing, such as duplexes and triplexes
  • Rezoning obsolete manufacturing-zoned areas for housing
  • Facilitating microunits
  • Allowing residential buildings to be as large as office buildings

Steven Malanga, George M. Yeager Fellow, & Senior Editor, City Journal

Even with billions of dollars in federal aid, New York City’s long-term financial condition is precarious. Stabilizing the city’s finances should be a core goal of the city’s next mayor, argues George M. Yeager fellow Steven Malanga, who proposes:

  • Prioritizing the Program to Eliminate the Gap (PEG), which regularly challenges city departments to find savings
  • Rationalizing the cost of public-employee health care to be in line with what other big cities offer
  • Offering retirement benefits to city employees that are similar to those enjoyed by state employees—benefits that are generous but that cost the government less
  • Reducing the size of the workforce through cuts, attrition, and productivity gains
  • Accelerating the privatization of the NYC Housing Authority (NYCHA)
  • Asking the state to invoke the Financial Control Board to make cost-cutting politically easier

Ray Domanico, Senior Fellow & Director, Education Policy

New York City’s school system nearly came unglued in 2020, and the aftermath has barely been better: signs of worsening education outcomes, poor attendance, and ineffective instruction. As schools reopen, MI senior fellow and education policy director Ray Domanico urges the next mayor to work toward offering the city’s diverse students a wider array of educational opportunities than exist at present. New York City, Domanico recommends, should:

  • Embrace educational pluralism. This means supporting good schools in all sectors—public, charter, and private/religious—that provide quality education. Some parents want schools where their children principally show their abilities on standardized exams. But other students can demonstrate their abilities by focusing on art, music, science, and other areas; schools should allow them to do so.
  • Focus on school quality and performance through fair and easy-to-understand methods of performance management
  • Demand flexibility from unions to bring greater efficiency and lower costs
  • Review all the Department of Education’s existing contracts
  • Prioritize real improvement in underserved communities over virtue signaling

Nicole Gelinas, Senior Fellow

Senior fellow Nicole Gelinas suggests that New York City’s next leader should build on decades of progress in public transportation to be the city’s “transit mayor,” using mass transit to rebuild confidence among the public. She also recommends:

  • Managing motor vehicle traffic by raising bridge tolls and parking fees, along with congestion pricing
  • Building better bus infrastructure and more efficient routes
  • Creating safer spaces for cyclists and pedestrians
  • Rethinking highway usage, especially for trucks
  • Reestablishing 24-hour subway service
  • Adjusting traffic enforcement between civilian agencies and the NYPD

Michael Hendrix, Director, State and Local Policy

The pandemic lockdown crushed New York City’s small businesses, thousands of which have permanently closed. The next mayor should aim to make the city the best place in America to start and run a small business. Translating that goal into reality requires: (1) giving entrepreneurs a helping hand now; and (2) making it easier for more New Yorkers to join their ranks and thrive. One important step should be a startup advocate in city hall who can, with the ear of the mayor, serve as the campaigner, connector, and convenor of small businesses. It also means offering:

  • Connections over cash—that is, helping small businesses and startups to tap in to existing private and public resources
  • Markets for micro-loans by encouraging an independent, entrepreneur-backed assets fund
  • Zero barriers to starting up a business
  • A one-stop shop for complying with all business regulation, licensing, and permitting

Rafael Mangual, Senior Fellow, Deputy Director of Legal Policy and Hannah Meyers, Director Policing & Public Initiative

New York City in 2020 experienced the largest single-year spikes in shootings and homicides in more than 50 years. Keeping people safe is critical to the city’s recovery. Rafael Mangual and Hannah Meyers argue that the next mayor should commit to securing the city’s streets and subways as part of a comprehensive public safety strategy to:

  • Reinforce the ranks of the NYPD, with a focus on attracting highly educated, motivated recruits
  • Build out a community policing strategy that is oriented around the public’s concerns—particularly with regard to the quality of life.
  • Work diligently to address legal skepticism of the police and law, particularly in minority communities
  • Emphasize more (and better) supervision of the city’s seriously mentally ill people