Notes
Slide Show
Outline
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Five Sins
  • For the Manhattan Institute
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Getting the Monetary Wrong


  • Hoover and Roosevelt got it backwards.
  • They saw inflation where there was deflation.


  • The country was so out of money towns made their own scrip….
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Sometimes they even made money out of wood…
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Getting the Taxes Wrong

  • Mellon had recently pulled a Reagan
  • After five rate cuts Mellon top rate was 25%.


  • In despair over the budget, Hoover et al now took the top rate up to 63%.
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"In the 1930s"
  • In the 1930s, people were still mourning the tax revolution….
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Ok we all knew that…
  • But did you know Hoover also put through a five percent sales tax on automobiles, a tax on checks, a tax on telegrams, a tax on….
  • Talk about sand in the gears at a the wrong moment…
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Then FDR raised tax rates again…

  • Hiked top rates all the way up to 90%
  • Ramped up enforcement…
  • Talked class warfare about “princes of property”
  • Feds saw now difference anymore between tax deduction and tax evasion
  • Listed names of people who took legal deductions in the paper
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"Read their names out loud..."
  •   Read their names out loud on the radio!
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Blaming the Messenger

  • They went after short sellers…


  • Hoover hated short sellers. He was a mining engineer, and he suspected anything that didn’t come out of the ground….sort of like Paul O’Neill at the Treasury a few years ago….
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And they went after business heroes

  • Their Greenspan was Mellon



  • “Three presidents served under him.”
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Sin #2:
Being Cavalier about Protectionism

  • The Smoot-Hawley tariff cut the U.S. off from the world at a vulnerable time.
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They kept Mellon in court until he died…
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Their Sergey Brin was Sam Insull
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  • The Feds put Insull Behind Bars Too…
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Scaring the markets

  • Roosevelt’s slogan, “Bold, persistent experimentation” was supposed to be all good.


  • We learned that “hey, somebody had to do something.”
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  So markets decided to wait it out…


  • And companies didn’t hire or invest…


  • There is such a thing as a recession of uncertainty, and this was one….
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And waited…
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And waited….


  • 1936…1937…1938….
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Don’t forget a Final Sin:

  • Using crisis as a pretext for your old reform agenda….


  • FDR used unemployment as an excuse to write the Wagner Act…killing jobs in the process…
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The results were unambiguous
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But we don’t remember all that…
the legacy is pro-intervention…
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