Leaving a mess for next mayor
Mayor Bloomberg wanted reporters to take away one thing from his final budget speech last Thursday: Hes not leaving a short-term mess. Thing is, the mayor will hand over a big long-term mortgage his legacy of debt.
Bloomberg stuck to his theme: Hes leaving the city in good shape. Thanks to his "long-term policy of fiscal discipline," he said, "we will be turning over a balanced budget to the next mayor."
True enough. As usual, the mayor will cobble together sufficient money to fund the $53.8 billion budget (not including $18.1 billion we get from the feds and the state).
Some of this is good luck (sort of): The city will get an extra $650 million in capital-gains taxes because people sold stock at years end, before the Obama tax hike kicked in.
Some of it is enforcement: City Halls green eyeshades will get $200 million more in corporate taxes after tough audits.
And some is good management: Gotham is enjoying $6.5 billion this year in "repetitive savings" the result of 12 separate rounds of budget-cutting since 2008.
Expect the mayor to push this theme further in the months ahead and even to announce in the fall that, thanks to higher-than-planned tax revenues, the next mayor will face less of a first-year deficit than the $2.2 billion now expected.
Behind the superficial "balance," though, whats in the budget is a disaster.
For the fiscal year that starts in July, New Yorkers will spend $23.3 billion fully 43 percent of the money they pay in taxes and fees on just three things: pensions and health benefits for city workers and retirees, plus payments on city debt.
When Bloomberg took office 11 years ago, these three things ate up just 24.3 percent of the budget, $6.9 billion a figure that was already too high for our long-term good.
In the past two years, as its become clear that a new Wall Street bubble wouldnt rescue Bloombergs third term, hes been talking more about the first two costs city-worker pensions and health care.
But Bloomberg talks about these things only to argue that they arent his fault. The "out-of-control stuff, theres really nothing we can do about it," he said Thursday.
Funny: He hasnt been at all shy about taking on other things he doesnt control like national gun policy.
Plus, the mayor does control the third big-ticket item: debt.
Next year, New Yorkers will make more than $6.2 billion in annual debt payments nearly triple what they spent when Bloomberg took office.
Thats because the total amount the city owes has jumped from $42.7 billion to $77.2 billion. Every New Yorker owes $8,919 47.6 percent more than the runner-up among US cities, Chicago.
(By the way, this figure doesnt include $28.4 billion in water-related debt, which people pay via their water bills, not taxes.)
Why so much debt? New York borrows not for its day-to-day budget, but to build and replace stuff.
"We have to build more classroom seats, we have to build a new water tunnel, we have to fix a water tunnel thats falling apart, we need more sanitation trucks to plow," Bloomberg said.
Yes and the city had to borrow heavily as it emerged from the 1970s and early-80s fiscal crisis, when it let bridges and schools deteriorate. But as the city caught up with that neglect, it should have borrowed less, especially for day-to-day repairs and replacements.
Thats because most of this spending doesnt create new tax revenues that can repay the debt. Were not building bridges to get people to move here, were painting bridges so they dont corrode so that the people who are already here dont fall into the water. This maintenance is not something we should be borrowing for.
The Bloomberg debt will squeeze the next mayor. The city is set to make fewer new investments in infrastructure, such as new schools. But even though well be incurring less new debt, well still be adding to the huge existing pile. So annual debt costs will continue rising, hitting $7.2 billion during the next mayors first full year in office.
Hes also leaving his successor with a risk: 14 percent of our debt is "variable rate" (like teaser-rate mortgages). This costs less now, thanks to record-low interest rates but taxpayers will have to pay more when interest rates go up.
Bottom line: The citys headed for trouble and, for all his efforts to suggest otherwise, its because Bloomberg will leave us teetering on a mountain of long-term debt.
Original Source: http://www.nypost.com/p/news/opinion/opedcolumnists/mike_mountain_of_ious_uj03rw2AYrbpGkhSAYNhBK