Manhattan Institute for Policy Research.
search  
 
Subscribe   Subscribe   MI on Facebook Find us on Twitter Find us on Instagram      
 
 
   
 
     
 

Frum Forum

 

Missouri's Blow Against Obamacare

August 10, 2010

By David Gratzer

What’s the matter with Missouri?

Last week, voters there approved Proposition C, annulling the “individual mandate” — that is, the requirement that everyone in Missouri buy health insurance or pay a fine. The final result was lopsided, with 71.1% favoring the proposition.

Much conservative ink has been spilled touting the vote as proof that Obamacare isn’t a winner at the ballot box. The Wall Street Journal, for example, declared it: “another resounding health-care rebuke to the White House and Democrats.”

FF Contributor Andrew Pavelyev argues that the Missouri results may be overhyped: “The Proposition C vote in Missouri may be a classic case of there being less than meets the eye.” This analysis is echoed by others, such as Jonathan Chait at TNR, who notes that the victory was colored by a “massively disproportionate Republican electorate.”

While I generally agree with Pavelyev’s thoughtful posts, we’re going to agree to disagree here.

My friend Henry Olsen summarizes the results in a concise blog:

While some commentators have suggested this was fueled by high Republican turnout, the results suggest otherwise. The measure passed in every county save one, heavily Democratic St. Louis City. It was approved by over 70 percent in virtually every county, and by 60-62 percent even in strongly Democratic counties such as Jackson, which includes Kansas City, Boone, which includes the University of Missouri, and St. Louis and St. Genevieve counties.

I ran by Olsen the various arguments that the Show-Me State didn’t really show much of anything.

He responds:

The author’s argument is based on an incorrect understanding of Missouri election law. Since all Missourians have the right to vote in any party’s primary under Missouri’s open primary law, the fact that 65% of the ballots were cast in the Republican primary does not prove that turnout was tilted toward the GOP base. The primary election results should be understood as a solid representation of what Missouri voters think of the individual mandate.

The general point is not that Obamacare is doomed because of one proposition — but it’s striking that the legislation remains unpopular and aspects of it are incredibly unpopular.

The Missouri result, in fact, can be seen in the larger context of polling results over the last number of months. Take a look at the RealClearPolitics rolling average � the poll of polls. Since passage, Obamacare has failed to capture the public’s imagination. The most recent polling, as calculated by that publication, has the “against” up by 14.8%.

And while we can always quibble about the merits and demerits of polls, it’s interesting to note that the people in the business who, literally, have their jobs on the line, aren’t exactly extolling the merits of Obamacare.

This. Debate. Isn’t. Over.

Original Source: http://www.frumforum.com/missouris-blow-against-obamacare

 

 
PRINTER FRIENDLY
 
LATEST FROM OUR SCHOLARS

Afroducking The Law: Deadly Excuses For Endangering Others
Nicole Gelinas, 11-17-14

2014s Most Encouraging Democratic Victory
Daniel DiSalvo, 11-14-14

Bring Deferred Prosecution Agreements Out Of The Shadows
James R. Copland, 11-12-14

Coal Trumps IPCC, Again
Robert Bryce, 11-12-14

World Leaders, Ignore Obama And Do These Five Things Instead
Diana Furchtgott-Roth, 11-12-14

ACA Architect: The Stupidity Of The American Voter Led Us To Hide ACA Costs
Avik Roy, 11-11-14

Cancer Drug Prices: A Convenient Scapegoat for a Complex Problem
Paul Howard, 11-11-14

A Supreme Court Case That Could Upend Obamacare
Diana Furchtgott-Roth, 11-11-14

 
 
 

The Manhattan Institute, a 501(c)(3), is a think tank whose mission is to develop and disseminate new ideas
that foster greater economic choice and individual responsibility.

Copyright © 2014 Manhattan Institute for Policy Research, Inc. All rights reserved.

52 Vanderbilt Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10017
phone (212) 599-7000 / fax (212) 599-3494