Civic Report
No. 35 March 2003

Table A: Effects of Welfare Policy and Other Factors on the Work Participation of Single Mothers, 1984–2001   Regression Results Mean Characteristics   coeff. t-stat.   Waiver 0.0037 0.72 8.03% TANF 0.0398 7.00 24.16% mother is:       age 18–21 -0.1637 -33.54 8.30% age 22–25 -0.0751 -17.99 13.73% age 26–29 -0.0291 -7.71 16.34% age 30–34 0.0041 1.27 22.95% age 35–39 0.0102 3.31 22.43% (age 40–44)     16.26% mother’s race is:       hispanic -0.0566 -16.50 11.65% black, non-hispanic -0.0748 -28.59 29.82% other non-hispanic -0.0981 -18.77 4.03% (white)     (54.50%) mother’s education is:       high school dropout -0.2246 -89.62 23.13% (high school)     (40.67%) some college 0.0610 26.27 27.43% college graduate 0.1563 43.88 8.72% living in central city -0.0372 -16.09 32.50% never married -0.0623 -26.38 37.17% 2 children or more -0.1394 -23.54 50.85% youngest child is:       age 6 or younger -0.1092 -32.41 54.49% age 7–12 -0.0162 -5.27 29.57% (age 13 or more)     15.94% unemployment rate in state is:       <4.0 0.0616 11.65 11.78% 4.0–5.0 0.0512 12.38 20.10% 5.0–6.0 0.0297 8.80 24.71% 6.0–7.0 0.0135 4.18 19.44% (7.0 or more)     23.97% hourly wage in state:       for high school or less  0.0003  0.19 9.27 for some college or more -0.0002 -0.15 12.25 other policy variables:       AFDC & food stamps combined (state) -0.0006 -1.38 98.07 EITC in 100’s -0.0017 -3.19 20.77 EITC in 100’s x 2-child or more  0.0026  7.38 12.10         Sample Size 221,531   Dependent Mean 0.6522   Adj R-Sq 0.1872           Note: The model includes the following variables, not separately shown: monthly dummy variables to adjust for seasonal fluctuation; a quadratic trend (trend, trend2 ); state fixed effects, and state and trend interactions. The data are from micro data files of the Outgoing Rotation Groups Current Population Survey, 1984–2001. Population refers to single mothers ages 18–44 with children under age 18. All monetary variables are indexed and vary by month or year as relevant. The value of the EITC is assigned as the maximum for a one-child family for women with one child, and the maximum for a 2-child family for those with two or more children.

[Appendix Table A][Appendix: Table B-1][Appendix Table B-2]
[Appendix Table C-1][Appendix Table C-2][Appendix Table C-3]
[Appendix Table D-1][Appendix Table D-2][Appendix Table E]